The global pistachio market is entering a tighter phase in the 2025/26 season. While the United States delivered a record harvest, sharp downward revisions in Iran and Turkey have pushed total global production lower than last year. According to the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC), worldwide pistachio output is now expected to fall by nearly 7%, creating a more constrained supply picture despite strong U.S. availability.
Global pistachio production revised to 1.10 million MT, down from last year
U.S. output expected at a record 726,400 MT, confirmed by strong October receipts
Declines in Iran, Turkey, and Syria outweigh gains elsewhere
Iran’s crop estimate cut to 225,000 MT
Higher share of blank nuts and smaller sizes reported
Export performance weakened at the start of the new season after strong shipments last year
Aflatoxin concerns remain a challenge for exports
Turkey’s production dropped sharply to 114,600 MT, down more than 70% year-on-year
Drought and unfavorable weather reduced yields in a natural off-cycle year
Strong domestic demand limits export availability
Export prices have risen to levels that reduce competitiveness
Growers warn that drought is now a medium-term risk
U.S. pistachio production reached historic highs
Demand for kernels remains very strong, driven by snack and food processing demand
Buyers in Asia are increasingly favoring U.S. origin over Iran
Despite high output, supply remains tight due to strong global buying
Spain’s pistachio output nearly doubled year-on-year
Still a small supplier, but benefits from logistics and expanding planted area
Production growth expected to continue in coming seasons
Global supply is tighter than expected despite U.S. bumper crop
Iran and Turkey are no longer providing price relief
Demand is shifting toward U.S. and alternative origins
Prices remain supported, especially for kernels and premium grades
Weather risks in Turkey and Iran will stay a key market driver into 2026
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